RSS feed source: US Energy Information Administration
In-brief analysis
October 9, 2025
We estimate crude oil inventories in China increased by about 900,000 barrels per day (b/d) between January and August this year, essentially acting as a source of demand by removing barrels from the global markets. The stock builds in China limited the downward price pressure we would otherwise expect to see with growing inventories, keeping the Brent crude oil spot prices in a relatively tight range around $68 per barrel (b) in the second and third quarters of 2025.
We estimate global petroleum inventories rose by an average of 1.8 million b/d in the second and third quarters in our October Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). Global oil inventories have been growing in 2025 as crude oil production from OPEC+ members and non-OPEC+ producers in North and South America has outpaced global demand
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