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In-brief analysis

December 12, 2025

In our latest Short-Term Energy Outlook, we forecast U.S. crude oil production will average 13.5 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2026, about 100,000 b/d less than in 2025. This forecast decline in production follows four years of rising crude oil output. Production increased by 0.3 million b/d in 2024 and by 0.4 million b/d in 2025, mostly because of increased output in the Permian Basin in Texas and New Mexico. In 2026, we forecast modest production increases in Alaska, the Federal Gulf of America, and the Permian will be offset by declines in other parts of the United States. We forecast that the West Texas Intermediate crude oil price will average $65 per barrel (b) in 2025 and $51/b in 2026, both lower than the 2024 average of $77/b.

Principal contributor:

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U.S. National Science Foundation

Directorate for Social, Behavioral and Economic Sciences

Walton Family Foundation

Letter of Intent Due Date(s) (required) (due by 5 p.m. submitting organization’s local time):

January 09, 2026

LOI for Phase I proposals

Full Proposal Deadline(s) (due by 5 p.m. submitting organization’s local time):

March 11, 2026

Deadline for Phase I proposals

Full Proposal Deadline(s) (due by 5 p.m. submitting organization’s local time):

Proposals Accepted Anytime

Deadline for Phase II proposals

Important Information And Revision Notes

Proposals must be prepared in accordance with the NSF Proposal & Award Policies & Procedures Guide (PAPPG). Use the version of the guide that is in effect on the proposal’s due date.

Summary Of Program Requirements General Information

Program Title:

Collaboratory to Advance Mathematics Education and Learning (CAMEL) for K-12

Synopsis of Program:

The

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Scientists have uncovered that some atoms in liquids don’t move at all—even at extreme temperatures—and these anchored atoms dramatically alter the way materials freeze. Using advanced electron microscopy, researchers watched molten metal droplets solidify and found that stationary atoms can trap liquids in tiny “atomic corrals,” keeping them fluid far below their normal freezing point and giving rise to a strange hybrid state of matter.

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On July 10, 2025, NSF issued an Important Notice providing updates to the agency’s research security policies, including a research security training requirement, Malign Foreign Talent Recruitment Program annual certification requirement, prohibition on Confucius institutes and an updated FFDR reporting and submission timeline.

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